LOKALTERMIN With Felix Kübler at “Rosengarten” 6 3 A chance encounter with an economics book changed Prof. Felix Kübler’s career path. Today, his research uses complex economic models to understand the role of financial markets in climate change or how to bridge generational differences in support for social policies. Text _ Jamie Brama Foto _ Caroline Krajcir W hile studying mathematics, Felix Kübler came across a book on economics that captivated him. “I was naive and believed everything in it,” he says, “and since I wasn’t that good at math, I decided to swit� to economics. It turned out to be a perfect fit.” He was so fascinated by the subject that he decided to pursue a PhD, �oosing to study in the United States to reconnect with fond memories of his teenage years there. “At that time, getting a PhD in the US pretty mu� meant you were on an academic tra�.” So his career path was set. “I became an economist for life,” he adds with a laugh. His swit� to financial economics came somewhat unexpectedly when he joined Prof. Thorsten Hens at UZH. Although he had already done extensive resear� on economic un- certainty, also in financial contexts, his focus had re mained in economics. Now he specializes in macrofinance – a field that bridges macroeconomics and finance. Bridging economics and finance to fight climate change One of his main resear� interests is computational econo- mics, whi� uses numerical methods to solve complex, non-linear economic models. “Advances in neural networks and AI-driven ma�ine learning have made this field far more interesting, opening up new ways to ta�le previously unsolvable problems,” he explains. Kübler studies the macroeconomic impact of human-induced climate �ange. By incorporating climate factors into financial models, he explores how economic policies can help mitigate the effects of climate �ange and adapt to �anging conditions. Key questions he addresses are: What measures, su� as taxes, regulations or no action at all, are effective today? And how should financial markets adapt to play a positive role in addressing climate �ange, rather than contributing to it? When it comes to climate solutions, one widely discussed approa� among resear�ers is a global emissions tax. “In our models, su� a tax would have a positive impact on emissions. For example it would make coal, whi� is the main problem, uncompetitive and reduce its use,“ says Kübler. “However,” he notes, “taxes are often viewed negatively and the introduction of new ones is extremely unpopular, especially among older generations. Young people welcome lower emissions because they’ll be affected by climate �ange the longest, but older people may feel differently because of rising energy and transportation costs.” In the United States, the focus of Kübler’s resear�, support for an emissions tax is unlikely due to limited public transportation options and high demand for heating and cooling. “In many regions, a car is essential, and in extreme climates, heating or air conditioning is necessary for survival,” he explains. Different approaches for different generations Kübler’s resear� explores whether financial compensation for older generations could build broader support for an emissions tax. Su� compensation could help seniors cope with rising costs while also benefiting younger generations by reducing climate impacts. Increasing pension benefits for older generations could be one way of gaining support for su� a tax. This would offset the higher heating and trans- port costs they might face. “Younger people who contribute to these pensions might receive less in the future, but would gain from a more stable climate,” he explains. “Our calcula- tions show that su� intergenerational compensation me�anisms could improve overall quality of life and foster broader support for climate measures like an emissions tax.” Reflecting on his career path, Kübler admits: “Some days I think I should have gone into medicine – it’s a field where you can really see the impact you’re making.” A doctor, for example, can help people directly. “With economics, howe- ver,” he adds, “you have the �ance to drive a broader, systemic �ange.” His advice to others is to always ask questions and be critical. “The world is full of misinforma- tion, and many people present their views as the absolute truth. In reality, we all know far less than we think. It’s crucial to understand the limits of our knowledge and to examine carefully what we’re told.“ Oec. Dezember 2024